Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 66.887110 75.611146 84.563754 94.405206 104.888235 115.691113 127.635302
2025-06-01 53.664026 66.156097 79.586688 94.966176 111.963031 130.056916 150.660907
2025-06-08 44.676795 59.023336 75.013956 93.881772 115.278353 138.558397 165.579057
2025-06-15 39.248916 55.084558 73.285241 95.292326 120.760980 148.937806 182.111055
2025-06-22 35.011888 51.984082 72.043748 96.824471 126.003554 158.736480 197.723769
2025-06-29 30.314231 47.814894 69.114744 96.005770 128.214633 164.833507 208.932109
2025-07-06 25.672088 43.247703 65.315434 93.802950 128.508969 168.485650 217.138917
2025-07-13 24.152741 42.602483 66.266090 97.267470 135.454083 179.807059 234.145461
2025-07-20 22.241349 41.233470 66.150058 99.295309 140.582253 188.937745 248.570940
2025-07-27 19.608758 38.611962 64.220718 98.891378 142.627832 194.329842 258.553657
2025-08-03 17.134410 35.980246 62.095954 98.086214 144.057828 198.895018 267.489689
2025-08-10 15.404885 34.293508 61.124694 98.670397 147.137072 205.386757 278.669688
2025-08-17 13.429643 32.059802 59.299906 98.083600 148.738420 210.121974 287.830789
2025-08-24 11.932324 30.441247 58.238098 98.434672 151.479545 216.221843 298.624197
2025-08-31 10.211398 28.246832 56.205019 97.362908 152.311175 219.913020 306.465405
2025-09-07 9.305114 27.372601 56.044763 98.797989 156.345907 227.540406 319.066182
2025-09-14 8.513635 26.617802 56.007359 100.363803 160.527167 235.339702 331.878006
2025-09-21 7.268295 24.842940 54.307815 99.527489 161.501180 239.097725 339.731002
2025-09-28 5.887120 22.573454 51.690331 97.277409 160.517808 240.333352 344.439441
2025-10-05 5.722900 22.838366 53.109701 100.816091 167.256952 251.326059 361.180596
2025-10-12 5.308508 22.502232 53.525765 102.886834 172.023086 259.823834 374.854569
2025-10-19 4.520883 21.196367 52.274789 102.474385 173.408674 264.004020 383.173017
2025-10-26 3.761236 19.803695 50.789785 101.652202 174.192058 267.383973 390.476601